Tuesday, March 20, 2012

Gonçalo Amaral - The Truth Of The Lie - AN IRISH FAMILY IN A STATE OF SHOCK.


The McCann couple return to Great Britain after more than four months spent in the Algarve. It's an almost triumphant return. The media coverage is such that you'd think you were witnessing the liberation of hostages held for years in a far-off country. Gerald McCann is shown on television carrying his son, as he descends from the plane. The child's head is against Gerald's left shoulder and his arms dangling by his sides. Gerald walks across the tarmac, still holding his son closely against himself.

In Ireland, the Smiths are watching the BBC news, which is broadcasting the event. For them, it's a shock: that person, they recognise him. That way of carrying his child, that way of walking...It's the man they saw at around 10pm on May 3rd, with a little girl, who seemed to be deeply asleep, in his arms.

This image, brings back with a jolt, that of the man they encountered in the streets of Vila da Luz, on the evening of Madeleine's disappearance. It's as if the scene is repeating itself ....Mr Smith thinking he's hallucinating, sees the same report on other channels, ITV and Sky News. From that moment, he is sure: the man they came across that night was Gerald McCann. Of that there is very little doubt. Upset by the implications of this discovery, he alerts the police and waits to be called back by those in charge of the investigation.

When we receive this information, at the end of September, we think we finally have the piece that will allow us to complete the puzzle. Because of this, we may be able to reconstruct the course of events on that cold night of May 3rd in Vila da Luz. We have a better understanding of why Jane Tanner, "sent," the alleged abductor in the opposite direction to that taken by the man seen by the Smith family. Suspicion had to be diverted from Gerald who - if he was the guilty party - would have taken this route: leaving apartment 5A, the individual who was carrying the child, did not go east, towards Murat's house, but west in the direction of the beach.

We decide to get the Smiths back to the Algarve, for a formal identification of Gerry McCann - by means of televised images, certainly - direct confrontation being impossible - and possibly proceed to a reconstruction of the events of the night of May 3rd. The National Director of the Judiciary police agrees, the process is set in motion, all the details are sorted out; all that remains is to choose the hotel where they will be put up. But the Smiths were never to come back to Portugal. After my departure, the PJ were to change their minds. They asked the Irish police to proceed with interviewing the witness. That decision was to seriously delay the process since the Smiths were not interviewed until several months later. Meanwhile, rumours were to circulate and people not involved with the investigation would be made aware of the existence of this witness; someone allegedly even sought out contact with the family, without its being known to what end.

Friday, March 16, 2012

#McCann :#Oporto police handed Madeleine review

17/3/2012

Ten months after UK Prime Minister David Cameron announced that he had given orders to the Metropolitan Police to initiate a review into the case of missing British toddler Madeleine McCann comes news that Portuguese police are also taking another look at the evidence.


Reports in Portuguese media have revealed that a team of detectives from the Polícia Judiciária (PJ) in Oporto have been appointed to review the original investigation following Madeleine McCann’s disappearance from Praia da Luz in May 2007.
 
The team of detectives is under the guidance of Helena Monteiro and is believed to have started their review some weeks back.
 
Police sources say the case has been handed to Oporto detectives to allow for a fresh look by detectives who are close to the case.
 
The case was formally shelved in July 2008 by the Attorney-General who said the case would be re-opened should new evidence emerge.
 
Sources close to the case in Portugal have told The Portugal News that they support the Portuguese review in that they hope it will conclude “an investigation which was ended while still in its infancy.”
 
McCann family spokesman Clarence Mitchell told UK media: “Kate and Gerry obviously welcome the work being done by the PJ in Oporto alongside that of the Met investigative team. They clearly hope that it will lead to the case being reopened in due course.
 
“There is good co-operation between the Met and the PJ, and Kate and Gerry remain grateful for the time and resources that have been put into the search for Madeleine”, adding: “They will not be discussing any details whilst both the Met investigative review and the PJ work is continuing, but clearly it is a positive development.”
 
On 12 May 2011 the Metropolitan Police Service (MPS) announced that, at the request of the Home Secretary, it had agreed to bring its particular expertise to the Madeleine McCann case.
 
The then Commissioner, Sir Paul Stephenson, considered the request and took the decision that on balance it was the right thing to do. This was subject to funding being made available by the Home Office, as this case is beyond the MPS’s jurisdiction.
 
The MPS have reiterated on several occasions that Portuguese authorities retain the lead.
 
While the MPS will not provide a running commentary on its involvement, known as Operation Grange, it is felt appropriate to make the remit available to the public and it is available in the related publications.
 
It is estimated that Operation Grange has cost British taxpayers more than two million pounds and reportedly boasts 37 officials who are working on the review.
 
According to the remit, investigators are “to examine the case and seek to determine, (as if the abduction occurred in the UK) what additional, new investigative approaches we would take and which can assist the Portuguese authorities in progressing the matter.
 
Whilst ordinarily a review has no investigative remit whatsoever - the scale and extent of this enquiry cannot permit for such an approach.
 
It will take too long to progress to any ‘action stage’ if activity is given wholly and solely to a review process”, the MPS explained.
 
Madeleine McCann disappeared from Praia da Luz on 3 May 2007 from an apartment where she was sleeping with her younger twin brother and sister while her parents dined at a nearby restaurant.
 
Brendan de Beer

http://www.theportugalnews.com/cgi-bin/article.pl?id=1156-9

#MCann vs Bennett : Update On The Committal To Prison Application

Quote

I post this update in the McCanns -v- Bennett committal-to-prison application for information - but will be unable to take questions on it.

Following the Case Management hearing before Mr Justice Tugendhat in the High Court on 8 February, I wrote on 13 February making proposals to Carter-Ruck for this matter to be settled without the need for what would undoubtedly be a stressful, and costly, High Court trial, now fixed for 9 and 10 May.

My proposals were not accepted.

Instead, Carter-Ruck replied on 20 February setting out the McCanns' terms for settling this matter before 9 May:

1. I admit that I have breached the undertakings given by me to the High Court on 25 November 2009

2. I formally acknowledge that these undertakings are binding on me

3. I agree to be bound by a Court injunction (instead of undertakings) in exactly the same terms as those I agreed to in 2009

4. That I 'use my best endeavours' to remove all publications, articles and postings by myself, wherever they are, to which the McCanns object, and specifically all of the 153 publications which they claimed in the original committal bundle on 1 December were breaches of one or more of my undertakings. That would include their demand that I cease to sell the book 'The Madeleine McCann Case Files: Vol 1'

5. I pay the McCanns' 'reasonable costs' of bringing the application, those costs to be assessed by the court if they cannot be agreed between me and the McCanns.

If all of that is agreed by me, they will, in return, agree not to press the court for me to be sent to prison, fined, or have my assets seized, although they point out (correctly) that despite any agreement between me and the McCanns, the court would have the right, if it saw fit, to impose any sanction that the judge saw fit to do so under the circumstances.

Carter-Ruck's letter (which by the way is not marked 'Private & Confidential' nor is it 'Without Prejudice') concludes:

"If you are not willing to agree to such terms, then our clients will be left with no choice but to pursue their application against you and to seek a final determination from the court".

HELP WANTED

I now have until Friday 23 March to submit to the Court and to Carter-Ruck a sworn Affidavit setting out in full my reasons for the application I issued at Court on 22 February to be released from Part C of my undertakings, namely that part which in effect required me not to libel the McCanns any further.

I have now completed a first draft of that.

I have one or two people advising me on the contents. If any of you here have some time during the next 5 days to look over the Affidavit (or a part of it, it's quite long), and offer comments and suggestions, please 'pm' me ASAP or e-mail me at: ajsbennett@btinternet.com

Once again, I'm sorry, but this posting is for information only, I won't be joining any discussion about it.


http://jillhavern.forumotion.net/t4408p230-mccanns-v-bennett-153-alleged-breaches-reduced-to-25

Sunday, March 11, 2012

Pat Brown ......Find The Body And Prove We Killed Her...


Before we move on to Pats latest Postarticle it is well worth remembering that we have a murder trial taking place right now in Scotland using cadaver dogs in evidence that a murder took place without forensic back-up or a body. The Suzanne Pilley Murder.


http://patbrownprofiling.blogspot.com/2012/03/criminal-profiling-topic-of-day-find.html


No body, no case. While this is not always so, it is quite rare to see
homicide or manslaughter charges levied against someone unless there is
exceptionally strong evidence that a person has been killed and there is
also substantial proof of how they were done in and who did it. As it
stands today, we have no such level of proof in the case of missing
Madeleine McCann; what we have is a child who hasn't shown up in five
years, no evidence of abduction, alerts from cadaver dogs, and very
concerning behavior and statements from the McCanns and their friends
and family.

Let me reiterate; I find no proof of abduction nor proof that Maddie is
alive. I believe the evidence more likely supports the theory that
Maddie died in the vacation apartment and her body was removed from
there. If the cadaver dogs are accurate in their alerts that a body was
in the apartment on May 3rd, 2007 and was moved in the hire car that the
McCanns rented weeks later, then the body was hidden locally and moved
to another location at a later date. If we follow this theory, the
following scenario is the one I believe most likely, having now spent
time in Portugal and Praia da Luz.

Following physical and behavioral evidence, I would theorize that Maddie
died in the apartment and lay behind the couch until she was
discovered. With panic ensuing, the body would most likely have been
moved by Gerry in a hurry to a location far enough away from the
apartment to not immediately have suspicion fall upon the parents. This
location would not be very secure, but because of the very limited time
frame Gerry would have had to work with, Maddie would have been simply
hidden in the weeds, or under an object or in an open isolated
structure. Then, I believe with an hour or so to work with in the early
hours of the morning, Gerry may have decided it would behoove him to
find a better hiding location and this I believe is most likely to be in
a gully on the side of the Rocha Negra, accessible from the beach and
full of loose dirt, stones, and rocks that would allow for a quick
burial (see previous blog; On Moving and Hiding Bodies).

Then, when Kate told the PJ that she had a dream about Maddie's body
being on a slab of rock and the cadaver dogs were heading to Praia da
Luz, Gerry might have decided it would be better to find a location away
from the town where she would never be found. Some think the body was
stored in a freezer at some point but I find this unlikely. If there is
some evidence in the vehicle of a body having been on ice, I would be
more likely to believe it was literally on ice in the boot. In other
words, ice was placed in the boot in a bag or bags as a method of
keeping the body cold during transport. Taking the body to an inside
location, storing it in a large freezer, and then moving it yet again
seems like an awful lot of extra moving of the body and, usually, a
person works in the direction of having the body disappear and doesn't
take the risk of bringing the body closer t him and keeping it around
for discovery. Bodies found in freezers or kept in freezers usually have
that location as the first place of rest, not an intermediary one.

There is also speculation that Gerry and Kate might have had a
contingent of helpers outside of the Tapas 7 which I also find hard to
accept. The more people one brings in on a criminal undertaking, the
more likely it is that someone will open their mouth, even accidentally.
Gerry is smart enough to know this is an unacceptable danger (any of
the Tapas 7 knowing anything is bad enough but this may have been
unavoidable and they may have more at stake to keep them quiet than
people uninvolved in the evening of May 3rd and previous days and
nights). He is also controlling enough to want to take care of things as
best he can by himself.

Before coming to Portugal, I entertained a number of possibilities: the
Huelva baths in Spain where the McCanns went just as the cadaver dogs
were
arriving, removal back to the UK, and incineration. Each had its
interesting
possibilities but each also seemed a bit too difficult to accomplish
(although by
no means am I saying such actions would have been impossible) and it is a
pretty good rule of thumb that people do what is easier to manage and
simpler
to pull off. Because of this, I came to two more probable conclusions,
both
involving Gerry driving the body to a location he felt was secluded and
unlikely to be discovered. I was particularly interested in the
activities of the McCann in the days before
the Huelva trip when Gerry's phone pinged repeatedly in an area to the west of Praia da Luz
along the road to Budens, (estre EN125). I also found it interesting that the day he was to
leave for Huelva, he was not feeling well, having a bit of an upset stomach.
This led me to theorize he could have used that day to move the body or to recover
from moving it the day before. I decided when I got to Praia da Luz, I would
take a trip down that road to the west and see whether there were any suitable
places to lose a body forever.

The first place I looked for was the kind of location for a “proper
burial” to occur, a place with some kind of religious significance like an isolated spot
in view of a little chapel so that Kate and Gerry could feel they had done
right by their daughter, a place they could find again and stop by to spend
time with Maddie, to pray for her. Being that Portugal is a heavily Catholic
country, I imagined there might be dozens of small chapels along the route much
as one can find a plethora of little mandirs (temples) in India as one travels
down just about any rural road.



Cemetery on Outskirts of Town


Interestingly, I found none to speak of. I found churches but they were
all
stuck right in the middle of town. I did find a couple of graveyards on
the
outskirts of town which had curious possibilities in that inside the
walls of
these small cemeteries, there were quite a few graves with just a mound
of dirt
over the body rather than a concrete structure; some folks obviously
lacked the money to pay for these nice
amenities and had to bury their loved ones in a very simple fashion.
When they came into more money, they could then top the grave site with a
proper tombstone. In theory, if one could access
such a location, one could bury a small body in an already dug grave,
put
back the displaced dirt and no one would be the wiser that the grave
contained
an extra corpse. Not a bad concept, but these graveyards appeared to be
locked
and monitored, so one would have to scale the walls to get in. Possible?
Yes,
but not probable.














So,
I found no really good location within the ping area for Gerry to give
Maddie a spiritual resting place. I did find an interesting spot,
however, that I thought might have stood in nicely as it had a beautiful
view which included the Rocha Negra in the distance.







And up at the top of a hill overlooking the spot,
there appeared to be a cross which would lend some special religious
significance, like God looking down upon Madeleine in her final resting
place. This location, the Forte de Almadena, is open to
the public down a short road that one can access after dark. During the
day, there appear to be times when no one is there.



There are the remains of a fort and,
nearby, odd mounds of soft dirt that actually already look like a set of
graves. Retired British police officer, PM, and I brought out the metal
detector and spade and investigated a number of them.







The metal detector found nothing. Since it was possible Maddie could have
been buried in the oft-discussed missing sports bag, I was wanting to see if
the detector would find any metal, metal that might be on that bag. If Maddie's body were buried shallowly under
the ground in a sports bag, metal rings attaching a strap or metal zippers (although zippers
these days are almost all vinyl) could set off the metal detector. Unfortunately, it remained silent.



Then PM dug trenches across the mounds; we
found nothing. Then we drove up to look at the cross we saw on the hill; it
turned out to be a windsock. So much for the religious significance, although,
if we thought it was a cross, so could Gerry.



Does that mean Maddie couldn’t be buried at the Fort? No, it is still
possible. There is a bit of land around it that we did not have the time to
totally explore. But, then, I found a better place.

Gerry seemed to be on that road west over a period of three days which
to date has not been explained. Was he looking and looking for a spot to
bury a body? Driving off
the main road to see if there was a good place to move Maddie to? PM and
I found
an excellent place within hours of leaving Praia da Luz, so I see no
reason why
Gerry couldn’t have found it as well. However, there is no religious
significance to this location; it would simply be a great place to hide a
body
and never have it discovered.

Would he choose this? Part of me fought against
it, thinking these parents, especially Kate, would find comfort and some validation
as good parents and Christians if they buried Maddie in a religious place of
some kind. However, Gerry seems to be quite practical and rather cold and
calculating and he simply may have decided, Kate’s feelings be damned, that
making sure the body was never found was of paramount importance and they would
have to live with it.

Monte do Jose Mestre. This huge, desolate area covers many square metres and is filled
with a considerable network of dirt roads. Looking down on the area from atop the highest hill is a row of windmills.
Small trees and bushes are scattered throughout and the dirt is not impossible
to dig in. Gerry had just returned from England and I wouldn’t be surprised, if
he is involved in disposing of Maddie’s body, that he brought a small shovel
back with him, one that could be tossed into the bushes when he finished
digging the grave or thrown away in a dumpster on the way back to Praia da Luz.
If the body is buried out there, it would be unlikely to ever be found unless a
large contingent of searchers and dogs descended upon the area and then it would
still be pretty lucky if they located a grave. I hope, however, this is done
sometime in the future. I would like to know if Maddie is there or not.

Views of Monte do Jose Mestre below.















Criminal Profiler Pat Brown

NOW on Amazon Kindle for $2.99! Only the Truth, my newest book, a literary mystery. Enjoy!

Wednesday, March 7, 2012

Dr.Gonçalo Amaral - No One has Failed To Notice The Sparkle In His Eye, The Spring In His Step AND Dare I Say It But I Do Believe Gonçalo is Looking Forward To His Day In Court ?

Spring is in the air, an article by Blacksmith and whatever is going on that is tickling Amaral it is catching !

http://blacksmithbureau.blogspot.com/


Wednesday, 7 March 2012

The “vestiges of a simulation”

Watch that bazooka!

Goncalo Amaral who, according to reports from his various enemies was recently trying desperately to extricate himself from the deadly consequences of his libels on the McCanns, has been seen showing his head above the parapet once more. And, surprise, surprise, not beneath a tattered white flag but, on the contrary, with something looking suspiciously like a rocket propelled missile launcher on his shoulder.

In two interviews he has put his personal troubles aside and emphatically repeated, with additions, the charges of the utmost gravity against Kate & Gerry McCann he originally made in his book and television documentary on the case. Not quite the behaviour of a broken man suing for peace is it?

Also, and refreshingly, he cut through nearly five years junk reporting by the media and outright lying by the McCanns and went straight back to the essence of the case – the “impossibility” of the parents’ version of events on the night of May 3. “Undeniably,” he said in one of the interviews, “this window, [the children’s bedroom window] as I have said before, is a window ‘facing the world’.”

Not only was the window open to the world’s view on May 3, with no place to hide for potential evil doers, but in another sense it is also the window through which one can enter this mysterious case. And probably exit it too, for as GA added, “it is where the solution of the case lies.”

Five years well-funded adventurism by the couple, the crazed chiaroscuro of SAS men, paedophile rings, private jets, the Vatican, Metodo, the committee rooms of the House of Commons, moustachioed fugitives, moored yachts with waiting baby-buyers, lost wallets, dying suspects and the rest, all created by that artist of futile melodrama Gerry McCann, have failed to serve their purpose: do anything possible to muffle or drown the message of the window facing the world until it can be written off as “old news”...

GA’s case has always been, forget the mysteries, the possibilities so beautifully dreamed up by the McCanns, forget, at least by implication, the everlasting world-wide search for a living child—a brutal but necessary decision—and concentrate on a trail: “vestiges”, says Amaral, “of a simulation”. The investigation of the case then consists in following the evidence of this simulation through to the end. Was he right? Or should he have been busy “closing the borders” and pursuing the paedos as all those failed policemen-consultants told us—until News International stopped paying them.

For our purposes there is no need to list contradictions by the dozen until the head spins. Let us enter that open window, look briefly at some of those “vestiges” and the the outlines of an investigation immediately become clear—for those initial “vestiges” lead on to new problems and then to new “vestiges”, as the witnesses alter and develop their stories to plug the new holes. We can see it in action – and as the Bureau once asked, to a certain amount of bemusement, why bother with mysteries when we can concentrate on the “knowns”?

The definitive conferral evidence

At its heart lies an apparently trivial, but in the event absolutely intractable, problem. A period of just five to ten minutes means the difference between a possible abduction and an impossible one; some members of the Nine realised this by May 5 yet the attempts to master it, beginning with the construction of the third “timeline”, not only failed completely but ended up providing the trail.

At their first conferral over the day’s events, between 10.30 PM and 1 AM on the night of the 3/4 May, documentary evidence (the sticker-book entries) proves that the participants,Gerry McCann, Russell O’ Brien, David Payne and Mathew Oldfield, all agreed, in writing and in two separate documents, that there was a gap of between five and ten minutes between the return of Oldfield from his “shutter check” and the departure of Gerry McCann for his “check”. The walking time between restaurant and apartments is some 90 seconds to the front of the apartments, 65 seconds to 5A patio doors.

Timeline A relevant entries

8:45. pm

Matt returns 9.00-9.05 - listened at all 3

- all shutters down

Jerry 9.10-9.15 in the room + all well

? did he check

9.20/5 - Ella Jane checked 5D sees stranger & child

Timeline B relevant entries

8.45pm. all assembled at poolside for food

9.00pm. Matt Oldfield listens at all 3 windows 5A, B, D ALL shutters down

9:15pm Gerry McCann looks at room A ? Door open to bedroom

9:20pm Jane Tanner checks 5D - [sees stranger walking carrying a child]

Such agreement and documentation cannot be “reversed” since it is definitive – the participants were all present and jointly created the document and no relevant information sources that could change their conclusions were absent during the conferral.

The police statements

The conferee’s May 4 statements, made before they had any chance for further discussion, are instructive. Gerry McCann: “at 9.05 pm, the deponent entered the club, [Ocean Club apartment] using his key, the door being locked, and went to the children's bedroom and noted that the twins and Madeleine were in perfect condition.” [Assim, sendo palas 21.05 o declarente veio ao clube,entrou no quarto munidoda chave respectica, estando a porta transcada.] But there was no mention of Oldfield and his return to the restaurant.

And Payne made no mention of Gerry’s first check at all. “He no longer remembers in what order they went see their children.”

O’ Brien was no support. “He recalls that Matthew Oldfield left the restaurant at shortly after 21h00 to check the children. He is no longer sure who went out first, but five minutes later [our italics]Gerry McCann and his own partner, Jane, went out, almost at the same time, [ours again]to check the children.”

But Oldfield’s statement was the best: “That around 21h05, the interviewee went to the area of the apartments, notably to the area near the windows of all the children's bedrooms. That he did not hear any noise.”

So when Gerry McCann approached his front door with a key he would have found Mathew Oldfield bent over listening to the shutters...

Impossibilities...

Put shortly: the twin parameters of time/distance analysis results and the presence of the independent witness Wilkins determine fixed intervals that cannot be manipulated: the abduction, whatever form it takes, key or no key, abductor or abductors, has to occur after a certain time (the time Oldfield left the shutters) and be completed before a certain time (Tanner’s sighting). That being so a gap between Oldfield’s return and McCann’s departure from the restaurant of more than a few seconds, combined with McCann’s entry to the apartment via the locked front door, cannot be fitted in. It is impossible.

...and developments

It was not just the police who began noting this impossibility. In his second statement on May 10 Gerry McCann decided to tell the police about others’ actions as well as his own. “At 21H05, Mathew returned, the time at which the deponent left the table to go check on his children.” Mathew has been pulled away from the shutters he stated he was listening to at 9.05, been teleported through the darkening streets without being asked and the interval is down to zero.

So Gerry now knew to the second when he had left – 9.04. He wasn’t asked how he could be so exact before his arguido statement in September. That was when he told the police he had looked at his never-before-mentioned watch! Of course this completely contradicted the sticker book evidence which he had helped prepare and the chief feature of which was the inability to time that same departure exactly by any of those present. Including Dr McCann. Anyway it was incorporated (as 9.05) in David Payne’s helpful exercise in clarifying new timelines.

Finally McCann bites another bullet – there was no alternative because of the timescale and the possibility of further theoretical “collisions” like that between himself and Oldfield outside the apartment door – and completely changes his description of how he entered the apartment.

Now you cannot “unremember” an event. And it is well known that for information analysis purposes the first statement is always the most reliable in describing actions, rather than emotions or states of mind. Gerry McCann had told the police flatly that he went into the apartment by opening the locked front door with a key and had then signed and attested the truth of his statement having had it read back to him in English.

The only entrance requiring a key is the front door one off the car park, for the patio doors do not have a lock but are bolted from inside. But now he claimed, without comment or explanation and in breach of his previous attestation of the truth, “He walked the normal route up to the back door, which being open he only had to slide.” [Efectuou o trajecto normal ate a porta das traseiras, a qual estando alberta somente teve de a deslocar send que.] Then, in an easy procedure for Gerry McCann he signed for and attested to the truth of this statement, having had it read back to him in English.

Step back – that’s it!

The history of the rest of the case consists not of moustachioed Monster sightings nor, regrettably, the search for a living child, but of the doomed attempts to remove these wicked little problems and polish the “authorised version”, each of which, of course, leaves an audit trail. Much of the work was done in late 2007 when Gerry’s lawyers so helpfully pointed out the weaknesses which jumped out to the legal, or prosecutorial, mind and invited him to reconsider his evidence yet again – before testing out the new versions in the media via Clarence Mitchell to see if they floated.

That led to the farcical Medical McCann Memory Total Recall Syndrome when Gerry discovered that he was now “sure” there was a Hiding Monster listening to him pee from some secret refuge in 5A. Mitchell’s will-it-float feed of this epiphany sent poor old Carlos Anjos into something resembling an apoplexy but there was no need to worry: Gerry McCann and his bad-breathed paid mouthpiece had added another bit to the trail that began at 10.30 in Praia da Luz. It’s all still there, Clarence.

The work still proceeds: many of the proposed “solutions” to the ten minute problem can be heard softly, like an almost hidden background theme, in Madeleine. Clearly, as at least one other commentator has noted, she feels they may yet be needed

The group

The full extent of Tapas 7 collaboration with the pair is vexed. Note, for example, that even after the Rothley meeting David Payne’s recollections of 6.30 - 7PM on May 3 were still very much out of line with Kate and Gerry’s, which implies an absence of late group collusion. But when the memories of two of the core group who conferred over the sticker-book have evolved so usefully for the couple, then at the very least a passive willingness to fall in with Gerry McCann’s untrue assertions without necessarily being privy to exactly why they were needed is quite indisputable.

Oldfield, for example, who was ignorant of the exact time of Gerry’s departure at the sticker-book conference, has made neurological history alongside Gerry McCann by the constant improvement of his memory, so that in April 2008 he could say, “So, erm, back to the table, erm, we have, oh, back to the table, Gerry got up to go and, to go and check on his kids, I mean, and I’d come back and said, you know, I didn’t hear any noise when I listened outside your room, so I thought it was a little bit odd that, you know, not kind of a wounded pride that he sort of didn’t trust me, but..”

My, my. While O’ Brien has made similar history in the reverse direction – Selective Short Term Memory Loss Trauma Syndrome: “Erm,” he muttered in that same week, a week in which his recall was generally quite magnificent, “Erm as we discussed the other day, I’d forgotten these over the year.” “These” were no doubt eminently forgettable to Dr. Russell O’ Brien, who had far more important things on his mind than those little sticker book covers, overwhelmingly sad and desecrated remnants of a child’s life, torn out thoughtlessly in a gesture that remains the abiding symbol of the Madeleine McCann Affair.

There is only one reason why the Tapas 7 question is “vexed”: it has still, after five years, never been fully investigated. Investigated, that is, in the sense of the attempted reconstruction of claimed events and the clinical confrontation of the McCanns and the core group with their different and developing stories. A withdrawal and substitution of evidence, such as Gerry McCann’s two statements about his entry to the apartment, is itself evidence for the prosecution.

The vestiges of a simulation

That is why Amaral, whatever his merits and faults, was and remains rightly furious at the eventual failure of the investigation to look through “the window facing the world” at these vestiges of a simulation and, indeed, its lame surrender when confronted with the Seven’s outrageous refusal to return to Portugal. Instead the investigation dropped the shutters on the window, turned away and succumbed to the childish mass delusion of the “world-wide search for sweet missing Maddie”– until it ran into the sands, as illusions, helped on by the cowardly evasions of creatures like Menezes, always will.

Maddie's sticker book, front cover

Madeleine McCann’s forgotten memorial

Gonçalo Amaral Goes On The Attack - To Win - In COURT !


“I suspect that my books were destroyed”

The new source of conflict between the former Judiciary Police inspector and the McCann couple revolves around the devolution of the book written by Amaral. The courts annulled the injunction pending over the work, and now, the former inspector claims back his 7500 copies of “Maddie – The Truth of the Lie” whose trustee is the legal representative of the McCanns in Portugal.




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Tuesday, March 6, 2012

Pat Brown : "Friends help friends move; Great friends help friends move bodies"


Criminal Profiling Topic of the Day: On Moving and Hiding Bodies


Getting stuck with a corpse is not one of those events we anticipate ever having to deal with, unless we are an experienced serial killer. For the uninitiated, panic is the primary emotion at the moment one finds themselves with a dead body and desperation and fear are panic's close companions. Fear of ending up in prison for the rest of one's life, desperation to prevent such a repercussion, and, panic, as one tries to get rid of the damning evidence in a short period of time.

The problem with unpremeditated crimes is that one usually has little time to think, to cover up what has occurred, and get rid of evidence sufficiently. Most nonserial killers also have the added problem of the victim being connected to them in some way; a wife, a husband, a girlfriend or boyfriend, a child. The police will be showing up on one's doorstep and one has to actually report the person missing at some point and one needs an alibi. Serial killers target strangers (or mild acquaintances) and no one has a clue they are connected in any way to a crime in their community. They have ample time to dump or hide bodies and toss clothing or weapons. By the time a serial killer becomes a suspect, often he doesn't need to worry about an alibi because years have gone by.

Not the same situation for a domestic homicide. The body of the victim usually is lying in the middle of one's living room floor or dead in the bedroom. The person is going to be missed shortly - at school, at work, by friends and family. And we often quickly suspect a relative if that relative was the last to see the victim alive, especially if he doesn't report the individual missing for days. So what the panicked perpetrator needs to do is get rid of the body immediately, try to stage some sort of abduction, and then report the person missing as soon as possible. This way, he looks as innocent and as concerned as he can and, if lucky, he can try to establish some alibi though this is often difficult (and nearly impossible without involving family or friends).

Because of the fear of what the autopsy will discover and the possibility of DNA and trace evidence linking back to the perpetrator of a domestic homicide, it is common for the offender to attempt to hide the body extremely well or destroy it entirely. Serial killers and sex predators often just dump the body like garbage a mile or so from their home, not worrying all that much that any evidence will be connected back to them unless they have their DNA in the CODIS system and a match will identify them.


So when a body isn't found after someone goes missing out of a house, police tend to take a strong look at whomever was at the same location as the victim at the time the person disappeared. This does not mean there aren't some serial killers who work harder at hiding bodies; they may bury them on their property, feed them to pigs, or toss them down mine shafts. But, it is far more common, especially with child sex predators, to dump the body quickly, usually within an hour of two of the abduction, rape, and murder of the little victim. Very few children taken for sexual purposes under the age of five aren't found dead and found dead fairly quickly; those that remain missing often are cases in which abduction is not proven and the parents are person-of-interest.
On the Beach in Praia da Luz Early in the AM

So, on May 3, 2007, if Madeleine McCann did die in Apartment 5A in Praia da Luz and her father or mother or both found themselves in that unexpected nightmare of dealing with a body, what would they do?

Kate and Gerry would likely fear arrest and imprisonment for one or both of them for murder - even if for second degree homicide as in an overdose or an overdose leading to an accident, or for manslaughter due to neglect and an accident - if there was something the autopsy would uncover.

They would have to get rid of the body, any evidence of Maddie's demise, stage an abduction, and he and Kate would need need alibis that would cover the time that Maddie would have been "abducted."

If Maddie died in the vacation apartment, it would seem the McCanns were successful at all of the above, barring the alerting of the cadaver and blood dogs to locations and items in the apartment and hire car.


And the most important aspect of the cover-up issues is the losing of the body permanently; no body, rarely an arrest.

The history of missing children with parents who are suspects has proven this over and over. In just the last few years we have in the United States a number of cases that come to mind: Haleigh Cummings, Ayla Reynolds, Sky Metalwalla, Jhessye Shockley, Kyron Horman, and Lisa Irwin.

No bodies, no arrests although at least one parent is a top person-of-interest in all of these cases.

So, let's say Gerry really was seen by the Smith family at 9:50 pm, dumped Maddie's body, and then hurried back to the Tapas restaurant. Why would he bother to move her body? Why not let the police find it and think an abductor took Maddie, killed her, and got rid of her?


Likely because of what autopsy might determine (drugs in body, head trauma, positional asphyxiation) and what the autopsy might not determine (violent sexual assault and strangulation by a predator) and trace evidence that might link back to the McCanns and no one else.

So, if the McCanns covered up the death of Madeleine, they would have to be sure her body was not found, if at all possible. Maddie's body would have to be moved to a fairly secretive location.

Some might say then that it must have been one brilliant location her body was hidden in that the police never thought of looking because it was never found. Others might say because her body wasn't found in the area, the McCanns must have nothing to do with the crime because they only had a few hours in the early morning hours to move Maddie's body to a better spot and how would they have accomplished this so well in so short a time?

Well, mostly by luck.


Luck plays an interesting role in a lot of crimes.

One would think bodies of children that families try to dispose of in a hurry should be very easy to find but they are not, often because they are quite tiny and easy to stuff into a variety of places or they get lost in a large expanse of land.

That the cadaver dogs didn't hit months later out in the open of Praia da Luz does not mean an abductor trundled Maddie out of town; it doesn't mean that her body wasn't hidden somewhere in the area for a period of time.

Although false positives are extremely rare for cadaver dogs, false negatives are more common and it is hard to prove the dogs missed a spot when, well, they missed it.

With changing weather conditions and numerous other factors, where a body may have been hidden temporarily may be overlooked by dogs, the smell having wafted off, well contained, or somehow not being noticeable enough.

False positives and negatives work like perfume; suppose a husband is having an affair with his secretary. She spritzes herself with perfume and the two go to a bar, take a walk in the park, and then come back to the bedroom he shares with his wife and has sex with her there.


That afternoon after work, the wife hears a rumor that her husband was seen at the bar and the park with this woman. She goes to both locations, and she doesn't smell the woman's perfume; the bar is too contaminated with massive numbers of odors and the park is too large to figure out where the couple may have been and even the bench the couple sat on and hugged and kissed has been rained on and wind has blown through the spot.

But, when the woman gets home, the fragrance of the woman's perfume hits her at the front door, is stronger in the bedroom, and when she picks up her husband's shirt off out of the laundry basket, she is nearly knocked out by the odor. There is no way she could be mistaken about the perfume in her house but just because she missed it at the bar and in the park doesn't mean the couple wasn't there as well.

This is an oversimplification of cadaver dogs and their abilities, but I just want you to get an understanding of why outdoor searches are so difficult, even for the best of dogs. Of course, if they alert on a spot in the middle of the landscape, this certainly is significant, but, not hitting anywhere does not hold the same importance as making a alert.

So, was Maddie hidden somewhere around Praia da Luz in a public area?


Very possibly, in spite of the fact the dogs did not discover that place.

She also could have been hidden in a private location but that would be far less likely considering the very few hours the McCanns, if they were involved, had to hide her body.

They would have to find a place quickly, nearby, within walking distance, someplace they had a clue existed.

The most likely possibilities would be where the McCanns had spent time, walked around or jogged past; it is night and one cannot spend hours scouring unknown rugged areas.

That might come later, but it would be unlikely to occur on May 4th before the sun rose.



 If I were in Gerry shoes (if he was involved in Maddie's demise and/or disappearance) and had a wife or friend to help me or if I had to do it alone, here are the places I would have considered and rejected. One is anything to the west of the area of the overturned boats (where the road accesses the beach and has good temporary hiding places; see my previous blog post).
Sometime after the locals and police had pretty much called it a night for searching, there would be an opportunity for Gerry or Gerry with Kate or Gerry with David Payne to find a good location to put Maddie's body.


I walked further down that direction and it is very difficult to traverse it at night. Lots of craggy, uneven rocks, and no place I could find that would be a good place to stash a body. If one went back up on the road and walked down past the houses, there is a bit of an area that one could bury a body, but that burial site would be hard to disguise.
There are some trash bins which could be a possibility but that would negate the later cadaver dog evidence in the hire car unless some object transferred cadaver odor to that location like a bag or clothing. However, the trash bins were searched and nothing found unless something was missed.

From the overturned boat area, there is a bit of a beach to the east, full of rocks, which then ends at a stone structure that juts into the water before the church. There were a few places to stuff a body, but I doubt a body could have stayed hidden.




There is the drain, but, again, not a good hiding place except for an hour or two.
From Center of Praia da Luz to West Beach

From the location of the church over to the rocks of the Rocha Negra, there is just beach and no real hiding places. Some have mentioned the Roman Ruins which can be accessed from the boardwalk. It is a very small enclosed location and while I did find one spot one could hide a small body, for the long run, one would think a maintenance person who worked there would find the corpse.

 
So, that leaves the Rocha Negra itself, the obsession of Kate McCann as she mentions it again and again in her book and even called the police to say she had a dream Maddie was on a slab up on the rocks.

This is an area both the McCanns were familiar with.

One can sit on the deck having lunch at the Paraiso Restaurant and the Rocha Negra is right in front of you.

The McCanns also jogged near and on the Rocha Negra as well.
Foot of Rocha Negra on Beach




There are three possible areas one could try to hide a body on the Rocha Negra.

Retired British police officer, PM, and I toured the various areas to see if there was a place we felt was more likely than others that one could move a body to in the wee hours of the morning.

We located three possibilities: at the foot of the rocks on the beach or in the water, in the gullies on the slopes, and on the land on the top of the cliffs.

At the foot, it first appears this is not a bad choice (above right) and, if it were low tide one could hide a body under rocks and gravel right there at the base where the cliffs meet the sand.

However, in higher tide, this is not possible and one has to worry about the smell hitting sunbathers, joggers, and hikers on the beach. It is possible, but not probable. Dumping the body in the water only to have it come back in the tide or trying to pin it under a rock is not very wise if one doesn't want the body to resurface unexpectedly.
Rocks to Beach at Rocha Negra



Rex the Dog's Grave




Next, PM drove me up to the area where one can follow trails up the grassy hills to the very top of the cliffs.

We found a dog, Rex, buried here, so it is possible to dig a grave, although the ground is very hard at that location and one would need a shovel to be successful. Also, while it is possible to walk or run to this location (and Gerry was in good shape), it is quite far to go carrying a child, then have to dig a grave, and run back. Furthermore, a fresh grave in the hills would be quite obvious. I didn't think it would be a good choice.
Gullies to Beach on Rocha Negra



Rocha Negra Gully

Then, PM and I explored the gullies that come down the side of the Rocha Negra. This area really sparked my interest. The gullies that were accessible from the beach were only a five minute walk from downtown Praia da Luz.




One can climb up and up (I doubt many do this for hiking as they are not very inviting) and these gullies have a massive amount of rocks and gravel in them and around them which are easy to move and cover a body with.


Finding a crevice, secreting a small body, and covering it with a pile of rocks would not take that long. On a night with a full moon, one would not even need a flashlight to accomplish this. The spot would be up and out of the way of beachcombers and a good location unless one thought cadaver dogs were going to be set loose on it. At the time Maddie went missing, no one was looking for a body and as long as an abduction was promulgated and a live child searched for, the PJ weren't bringing in cadaver dogs, which they didn't, until the McCanns became Arguidos (suspects).





Right next to the beach a few metres from the gully area is a road and public parking spaces (if one wanted to remove the body later and transport it elsewhere.

The cadaver dogs did search the Rocha Negra, ascending as far as they could from the beach.

I don't know if a moved body, perhaps a well-wrapped one, might not have left a scent for the dogs to find or whether there was never a body there. But, this very accessible location on the side of the Rocha Negra would be my top choice for where I would hide a body if I only had a short period of time and couldn't go very far.

At this point, there is not enough evidence to prove in court that the McCanns are involved with the disappearance of the daughter, Madeleine, or that they moved her body or exactly where they could have moved her body if they were. But, when one puts oneself in the mind of a person desperate to hide a body, it is interesting what one sees as possibilities.

Criminal Profiler Pat Brown

http://patbrownprofiling.blogspot.com/

Dr.Gonçalo Amaral : "I suspect that my books were destroyed" Punishable by a prison term up to five years, which now faces the McCanns and their illustrious lawyer.




Weekly "The Crime" Thursday, March 1, 2012 (pages number 12 and 13 )




Gonçalo Amaral "I suspect that my books were destroyed"

A new source of conflict between the former PJ inspector and the McCann couple circles  the book written by Dr.Amaral. The courts overturned the injunction hanging over the work, and now the former inspector recalls his 7500 copies of "Maddie - The Truth of the Lie", whose trustee is the legal representative of  the McCann's in Portugal.


"Crime" - The Court of Appeal ruled that the books (Maddie - The Truth of the Lie) which had been seized, will be delivered. Have the books been returned?


Gonçalo Amaral - the Lisbon Court of Appeal ruled that my book and my opinions did not violate privacy rights of the couple McCann, parents of the missing child, so that the injunction was peremptorily denied.
The decision has become final?


The decision of the Court of Appeal did not accept action. Even so, the distinguished lawyer of the couple managed to delay the final judgment, which occurred in November 2011 following a decision contrary to the McCann issued by the Supreme Court of Lisbon. It has been selling "pig in a poke" and I am beginning to doubt that the McCanns are aware of the decisions of the Portuguese courts. You may continue to pay without knowing the outcome.


Question : Why were the books not returned as ordered by the Court ?


Gonçalo Amaral .I doubt that the books exist. Indeed, it is good to remember that the lawyer of the McCanns had always said that these books would never be offered for sale. Where did this come ... sure do not know. Just know that this lawyer and their clients do not comply with decisions of the courts of Portugal, which can be demonstrative of their character, or at least their way of being in the Portuguese legal system.

 
Let me remind you that, to suspect that such books have been destroyed, denounced the situation to the prosecutor, happening right now in DIAP Lisbon criminal proceedings for embezzlement or destruction of objects placed under the government (Article 355 C of the Penal Code), abstract punishable by a prison term up to five years, which are suspected the McCanns and their illustrious lawyer.


Question : How many copies are we talking about?



Gonçalo Amaral:They will be concerned about 7500 copies.


Question : When and if the books are returned what will you do with them ?


Gonçalo Amaral :Those books, or a new reissue, should already be in the market. The publisher "War and Peace" will know this subject.
 


Question: What stage is the civil case against the McCanns with you?



Goncalo Amaral : We are in pre-trial hearing. Right now, my new attorney has"Tweaked" a process that was stopped and this has caused panic in the opposing party.

Question : One of the strongest arguments for the prosecution are claims that Gonçalo Amaral made a fortune from the sales of his book, what do you have to say on this subject ?

 
Gonçalo Amaral : If someone wants to talk about "enrichment", first think about the parents of  the missing child and  their family and  their "staff" and support in their illustrious lawyer.
In the latter case that it was important to say how much you've earned and the prospects of earnings that still feeds, not to mention other lawyers, detective agencies and communication.


Question : Do you have any expectation for this process?


Gonçalo Amaral : The only expectation is that we will win the action, because there are no facts or matters of action. The action of the McCanns is inept. And all this causes great despair in their illustrious lawyer, who feels the need to move forward with a campaign of disinformation and defamation against me. You should not forget what has been said, because by that I will respond in court.


As you know, Prime Minister David Cameron has ordered re-evaluation of the search in England about the disappearance of Maddie. How do you assess that decision, admitting that the British hardly have access to research in Portugal?

The decision of the Prime Minister has been misrepresented.
The McCanns have spoken of a reassessment of the "sightings" of the child.

But what is known is that Scotland Yard, appointed to review all research, has put aside the pseudo-sightings focusing on the process that is filed.
The elements of Scotland Yard have been working with a research team from Porto (Porto because the Algarve and Lisbon had been involved), and what is known is that the "thing" is not going very well for the side of McCann .


Question: The Maddie case, one can say (not secret) has committed his career in PJ. What hurts you most about that?


Gonçalo Amaral : Not so! The case "Maddie" happened at a stage in my life when I was already tired of saying "yes." Only and only that.


Question : It was naive?


Gonçalo Amaral : Nothing like that. I left the Judicial Police on my initiative and head up, I worked there for almost thirty years and had a successful career and unpolluted. The detractors who try to denigrate such a career, because then we talk soon.

So far the track taken by private investigators looking for the child, even those that have become more media, have proved useful and, perhaps, have thrown up more confusion about the case. What is your opinion?

The private detectives, in general, were concerned to make up stories about the Portuguese investigators in charge of the case, or creating false sightings.
The McCanns should have the courage to disclose all reports generated by such private detectives and then we would understand how that has served the fund created to find the child .. It would be very interesting.

In fact, let me remind you of the action detective agency "Method 3". (Metodo 3 )
These gentlemen have created several sightings.
At some point, Christmas 2007, they claimed the missing child would be home that same Christmas.
At that time tried to turn the investigation into the disappearance of Madeleine.
They came to "contact" a lawyer / medium to make that connection.

This character was the first person who publicly covered mediatic  and said that Madeleine was dead, and carried out searches in the Algarve dams.
And today bewildering , or maybe not, who is a distinguished lawyer of the McCanns to defend it in the process against him for defamation intentei qualified and whose crime is being prosecuted in the Court of Faro.
Now let us stop a little, recall that the McCanns say that when I expressed my opinion in the sense that the child was dead I was, according to them, undermining the search to find little Maddie .

Now I ask you and every citizen... the reason for the lawyer of the McCanns NOW defending a person who manifests himself  and has publicly expressed the idea that Madeleine is dead?

What is the reason for the "Metodo 3" contacting the lawyer / medium? Surely not to find the child alive. ?


Question: Do you still believe that someday we will know what happened,  beyond any doubt?


Gonçalo Amaral : Someone must find a solution politically correct and diplomatic.

Friday, March 2, 2012

Maddie Case: Dr.Gonçalo Amaral Discusses Disposal Areas For A Small Child.

!
HC: Some of the key points mentioned in the TV program broadcast by SIC a few days ago were precisely the beach and this ravine, and also a golf course and all that makes sense with a thesis emerged in May 2007, that said that the little girl could have been carried inside a sports bag or in a golf bag, brought trough the golf course to this ravine and then thrown here. Moita Flores said, in that show, that in doubt he would also come back here. Gonçalo Amaral, what did the police do here in Praia da Luz?

GA: In the first night, searches were made using sniffer dogs, with the help of the public, and all of this area was searched, here…

HC: But also the rocks down here?

GA: Yes, in the rocks down here, at the base of this ravine, probe rods were used to search in the sand and in the soil in the ravine’s base, in order to release eventual odours of cadaver, and nothing was detected. Aerial searches were conducted in the first days as well as at the planning, the planning was preceded by an assessment, let us call it, an overview of the entire area by a helicopter that was ceded by the civil protection of Faro, and nothing was detected. As to that hypothesis, of throwing a body - and I recall that the little girl’s weight would be about 30 kilos – from here to the sea, I would say that is impossible. Notice that the sea is not immediately beneath here, the ravine does not have a vertical steep, there is a vertical grade and the sea is still far away. A great strength or almost a gigantic person would be needed for the body to fall in the sea, and in the deep sea. There are photos, taken in the rocks down bellow in the water, were we can see searching, certainly he was not searching for his live daughter…

HC: Are you referring to Maddie’s father?

GA: To Gerald McCann. Maddie’s father.

HC: He was walking around here, in the rocks bellow?

GA: Yes, there are pictures of that.

Gerry McCann & his wife's cousin Michael Wright, May 9, 2007, 

HC: But in that case, he would have to have the firm belief that the girl was dead.

GA: I do not believe that he was looking for crabs nor searching for a live daughter.


http://joana-morais.blogspot.com/2012/03/maddie-case-goncalo-amaral-returns-to.html

Maddie Case: Dr.Gonçalo Amaral Returns To The "Ocean Club"

Maddie Case: Gonçalo Amaral returns to the “Ocean Club”


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